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  1. T

    Coronavirus

    I understand your skepticism, but there's a few problems with your graph. I used the CDC page you linked and came up with a 2020 total deaths for that period of about 25,000. So that bar is wrong. For deaths that have been attributed on the basis of the details on death certificates, I suggest...
  2. T

    Coronavirus

    Paul Krugman piece from NYT reprinted at Sydney Morning Herald: Indeed, at this point Arizona, with 7 million people, is reporting about as many new cases each day as the whole EU, with 446 million people. Amazing.
  3. T

    Coronavirus

    Wow, numbers in the US have gone nuts in the last week. A sign of how dramatically things have changed is that the Texas Governor has now mandated masks in public places - penalty $300. That's a massive turnaround. Apparently one in three tests in Arizona are returning positive - is that true...
  4. T

    Coronavirus

    Is it a coincidence that all the US states where the disease is accelerating seem to have Republican governors? I couldn't find any exceptions. I'm not trying to imply the converse, that Democrat governors have all done a good job containing it. I suspect that the relaxation of restrictions may...
  5. T

    Coronavirus

    The stats for Arizona don't look good - the number of cases doubled in the last fortnight. Don't worry, I don't think the USA will let someone else take the #1 ranking ... What has surprised me is that regardless of what government leaders say, most citizens have sufficient self-preservation...
  6. T

    Empire in Decline

    Very good explanation of the George Floyd autopsies: Dr Mike Hansen is one of my favorite YouTube medicos. As a pulmonary and ICU specialist, he has provided invaluable insight into the realities of COVID-19.
  7. T

    Empire in Decline

    The USA is the heart of the English-speaking world, and probably the flagship of modern democracies. Countries like Australia and the UK have derived indirect benefit from the USA's very existence. But the future has looked bleak for the last decade or two. The extent of the riots, following on...
  8. T

    HOT

    1. Yeah, that's warm alright. :( 2. I *think* Midea was the brand of portable A/C we had a few years ago. It wasn't too bad as that type of unit goes. 3. Do you get your A/C serviced every year, i.e. pressure checked, fins cleaned? Compressor could be good for a while yet if it's still...
  9. T

    Coronavirus

    It's worth pointing out that there are several countries with Case Fatality Ratios less than 2%. What they all have in common is better and more timely testing than the US and other hot spots. So the denominator (cases) is closer to the true number of infections and CFR is lower. Inversely, a...
  10. T

    Coronavirus

    The JHU site is comparing apples to oranges, and you're buying the fruit salad. Positive cases and Deaths are two entirely separate domains with different timelines. It only makes sense to compare the total figures when the epidemic is done and dusted. Try to visualize a single victim who...
  11. T

    Coronavirus

    While the average Russian might agree with your reason, I can't see anything wrong with the Russian to date numbers: April 21 cases = 52763 (-21 days) April 28 cases = 93558 (-14 days) May 12 deaths = 2116 (2.3% with average 14 days to death, 4% if you assume 21 days to death) The number of...
  12. T

    Something Random

    😲 Do you replace a sacrificial anode every few years? Is your water soft or hard?
  13. T

    Coronavirus

    It's probably been obvious to virus researchers for ages, but there doesn't appear to be much chance of SARS-CoV-2 ever going away. I think it's here to stay, regardless of any potential vaccines or treatments. 1. We have only ever managed to eradicate one virus: Smallpox. 2. The concept of...
  14. T

    Coronavirus

    Actually, new cases has only dropped below 10 per day once in the last 14 days. The count today was 18. The bullsh*t factor is pretty high, the highlight being a claim by our Prime Minister that Australia had done better than New Zealand (which had a more comprehensive lockdown). In fact...
  15. T

    Something Random

    Swedish water has no minerals?
  16. T

    Coronavirus

    That would assume that consumers are able and willing to vote with their feet. I'm afraid that's an illusion that is used to brainwash the citizenry. Even for items that aren't imported directly from China, it still forms key parts of the supply chain. Don't get me wrong, I'm well aware of the...
  17. T

    Coronavirus

    I've made this point before, but Wet Market is just another term for Farmers' Market. Perhaps these aren't very common in the Land of the Supermarket, but they are everywhere else on the planet. I found this reprint of a Bloomberg opinion piece was a reasonable injection of reality That...
  18. T

    Coronavirus

    Your first problem here is that deaths operate on a different time scale to positive test results. Deaths are spread over a number of weeks (the record is 7 weeks) but average two weeks behind when someone tests positive. When the true number of cases is increasing rapidly (eg 70 times in 14...
  19. T

    Coronavirus

    A little surprised that no-one mentioned that the British Prime Minister, who has had COVID-19 for 10 days, was admitted to hospital. A day later, he was moved to the ICU: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-52194875 I looked it up, and whereas you might normally fancy your chances of coming out the...
  20. T

    Coronavirus

    BBC News Report: St Thomas' Hospital has experience in treating coronavirus patients in its ICU. For extremely serious cases it can use a life support machine called ECMO (extracorporeal membrane oxygenation) which replaces some of the function of the heart and lungs. There are only a handful of...
  21. T

    Intel 10th Gen Comet Lake CPU @ 5.3GHz

    It's a scam.
  22. T

    Coronavirus

    I've observed that people who actually follow political parties or politicians behave much the same as sports fans, football (of whatever type) in particular. They are constantly vigilant about anyone making *any* kind of comment about someone in their 'team' and will quickly attack in...
  23. T

    Coronavirus

    It seems there is not really a large difference in death rates as you might think by just looking at current data. Some (including the now infamous WHO) are just dividing cumulative deaths into cumulative confirmed cases. This is meaningless while the epidemic is still underway because it takes...
  24. T

    Coronavirus

    Yes, the US has finally got their testing regime underway and we are seeing some results. Two problems: a) the US has several times the population of most other countries so will need to do several times more tests, and b) it is starting from a far higher population penetration, so it will need...
  25. T

    Coronavirus

    If you believe the American numbers you must be an American. It's pretty easy to show that the reported cases are a fraction of actual cases. Not through deception like China, but sheer lack of testing. Source? While looking for one I found this gem of an article from 28 days ago...
  26. T

    Coronavirus

    Actually, a stronger immune system is potentially a liability with COVID-19. It has that in common with its cousin, SARS. It's actually an overreaction from your immune system that causes the really severe symptoms such as pneumonia and organ failure. How fit you are or how few colds you seem...
  27. T

    Coronavirus

    Relevant article for US, UK and Australian citizens about one town in Italy showing how it's done: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-21/one-italian-town-is-bucking-the-countrys-coronavirus-curve/12075048
  28. T

    Coronavirus

    I have had some minor cold/flu symptoms for more than a week, and I have underlying conditions that make me vulnerable. The severe rationing of tests in Oz means there is no way I can get one, unless I develop pneumonia. And as you say, if I somehow could get a test, it takes a week to get the...
  29. T

    Coronavirus

    Left relatively unconstrained, the numbers have been shown to double about every 4 days. So one million reported in the USA by the end of April is by no means impossible. However, I assume there will be a total lockdown in the next couple of weeks, which should limit the end of the month to a...
  30. T

    Coronavirus

    Agreed. It typically takes years after the event to reconstruct the zoonotic leap. And for all we know the virus mutated when it spread from say, Patient Zero to the next victim. Cap all that off with the information black hole that is China.
  31. T

    Coronavirus

    Not sure about some of your numbers here. Firstly, it's worth pointing out that the Aussie dollar is only worth 59 US cents. So everything costs about 2/3 more than it does in the US (excluding the 10% sales tax or GST). Secondly, the minimum repayment is on a sliding scale; a graduate making...
  32. T

    Coronavirus

    You're repeating a furphy. The first COVID-19 case was never anywhere near that market, it's just that the congregation of people at the market created the first cluster, and people naturally enough jumped to conclusions. There's no shortage of things to condemn China about, but getting excited...
  33. T

    Coronavirus

    Youtube suggested this today: It's a TedTalk from nearly five years ago where, in the aftermath of Ebola, Bill Gates says the biggest risk to the human race is a virus. Check out the sixty seconds starting from 3:40. He did some interviews on the same theme in 2015 as well.
  34. T

    Coronavirus

    Apparently 9 days on hard surfaces (glass, metal, plastic) is not uncommon for coronaviruses. No idea where the tale about only nine hours came from - just more of the avalanche of bullsh*t that has been generated by incompetent 'health professionals'. You may have heard of the somewhat...
  35. T

    Coronavirus

    If you believe the official stats, the most dangerous country in the world to catch COVID-19 is the USA: 260 cases and already 14 deaths. Although there are valid criticisms of how the US healthcare system works in this sort of situation, I imagine the ratio is partly inflated due to gross...
  36. T

    Coronavirus

    I think that what is happening on the quarantined cruise ship, Diamond Princess, is a microcosm of what is likely to come. From Wikipedia: On 20 January 2020 an 80-year-old guest from Hong Kong embarked in Yokohama, sailed one segment of the itinerary, and disembarked in Hong Kong on 25...
  37. T

    Coronavirus

    The first link is a puff piece (i.e. bullsh*t), the second includes a quote that says a vaccine is at least a year away, and that's assuming a large pharmaceutical company is onboard. China might be 'out of the woods' in a few months, but the epidemic has yet to even get going in other...
  38. T

    DIY Blockchain

    That's gold, thanks. The card is already setup with its own software to debit the balance - their target market is simple financial cards. The cards have different states, one of those being a 'manufacturing' state that enables full access. That is permanently disabled before shipping.
  39. T

    Coronavirus

    Actually, it is when the virus is this contagious, thanks to geometric progression. If you start with 5 (a few), after one week there will be 100, and after two weeks there will be 2000 (based on each person infecting 2 - 2.5 others, or so I've read ...). I'm not remotely interested in "global...
  40. T

    DIY Blockchain

    I'll see your Feitian and raise you an ACOS5. Also 192kB with 500k+ write cycles, as well as RSA 4096 and SHA 512. Any comments about relying mainly on software?
  41. T

    Coronavirus

    Borders are too porous, according to most of the published experts. They're basing that on historical experience, which is pretty easily confirmed: SARS was stopped but Swine Flu and the common cold were definitely not. Are they really saying that humans can't cooperate enough to make a...
  42. T

    Coronavirus

    Closing borders works with something like SARS, which has a short incubation, is not contagious until symptoms appear, and is over within about 6 days (17% mortality rate in Canada). This virus is nothing like SARS. The guesstimate is only about 2% mortality, BUT it seems to have a longer...
  43. T

    DIY Blockchain

    We sell a service that is metered, with a running balance currently stored on a prepaid Smartcard. The balance gets debited as you use the service, until it is exhausted and you need to buy a new card. It's reasonably secure, but we have to burn a balance onto the cards and ship them around the...
  44. T

    Something Random

    Unfortunately, if you're snowhiker, or even someone like me or Chewy, the only backup is a portable fan or 5. They really don't work as well. :(
  45. T

    Lenovo P43s throttling like crazy

    HWMonitor, ThrottleStop and TaskManager. I don't have all that much faith in any of them - after all, it's an internal CPU function and they're just trying to capture evidence of what's happening inside the CPU. I also don't have much faith in Cinebench R15, particularly the OpenGL test. When I...
  46. T

    Lenovo P43s throttling like crazy

    Under Windows 10 especially, I notice that even single threaded tasks get swapped from core to core, presumably for thermal reasons? Combined with the sheer amount of crud that is running in the background these days, I wonder how effective a single or even dual core 'turbo boost' actually is...
  47. T

    Lenovo P43s throttling like crazy

    I had some success in avoiding the worst of the throttling by undervolting the CPU. Intel XTU no longer works with many CPUs, so I used ThrottleStop instead. Undervolting by 0.1V was enough to re-align the steps. You can also fiddle with the clock steps, although Speed Shift uses that more as...
  48. T

    Lenovo P43s throttling like crazy

    I think I understand some of this new world now. Whether a CPU is an i5 or an i7 is just a function of binning, eg. an i5 requires more voltage to be stable at the same frequency, so Intel reduces the i5 clocks at each step to compensate. Eg. i7-8565U ranges from 1.8GHz @15W to 4.6GHz max...
  49. T

    Lenovo P43s throttling like crazy

    What's even worse is the Configurable TDP-up on that same spec page. That's an alternative TDP of 25W at a frequency of just 2.0GHz! Intel must be doing some serious undervolting (-18%) at the base clock of 1.8GHz to get it down to 15W. Configurable TDP-up is better with the 10th generation...
  50. T

    Lenovo P43s throttling like crazy

    We have an identical one coming back at the end of the month, so I will compare with it. In the meantime, I need to order another one, but for some reason I have some doubts ...
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